Marquette Law Poll finds Trump job approval upside down, Biden leading president, Dem field

The latest Marquette University Law School Poll again finds President Trump’s job approval numbers underwater, Joe Biden in the strongest position of any Dem challenger and voters more pessimistic about the economy’s future than at any point in the survey’s history.

Still, former Vice President Joe Biden was the only potential Dem challenger who had a clear lead against the president in a hypothetical match up.

Biden also was the top choice among Dem voters in the primary for the presidential nomination.

The latest results are from the poll’s first look at voter attitudes since April and come as the focus increases on Wisconsin as a key state in the 2020 general election for president.

Fifty-one percent of voters backed Biden in a head-to-head with Trump, while 42 percent supported the president.

Meanwhile, U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders was supported by 48 percent, compared to 44 percent for Trump. That is within the margin of error.

And the president was tied with U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 45 percent apiece U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris at 44 each.

In the Dem primary, Biden was the first choice at 28 percent, while Sanders, who won the state’s 2016 primary, was at 20 percent. Warren was at 17 percent, while South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg was at 6 percent and Harris at 3 percent.

Asked their second choice, it was: Warren 20, Biden 18, Sanders 13, Harris 11 and Buttigieg 10.

Meanwhile, 45 percent of registered voters approved of the job Trump is doing, while 53 percent disapproved. That’s largely unchanged from 46-52 in the April poll, and the president has consistently been underwater with Wisconsin voters in the Marquette poll during his time in office.

On the economy alone, 49 percent approved of the president’s performance, compared to 50 who disapproved.

The poll also found 26 percent of voters expect the economy to improve in the next 12 months, while 33 percent think it will stay the same and 37 percent think it will get worse.

Poll director Charles Franklin noted more voters expected the economy to get worse than get better in two of the last three surveys. That marks the most pessimistic they have been on the future of the economy since the Marquette University Law School Poll began in 2012.

The combined numbers of the last three polls was a net negative by 3 percentage points with 30 percent expecting the economy to get better and 33 percent projecting it to get worse.

The poll of 800 registered voters was in the field Aug. 25-29. The surveys were conducted with live callers with 60 percent of respondents interviewed over cell phones with the rest via land lines. The margin of error for the full sample was plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.

For the questions of 444 included in the Dem primary questions, the margin of error was plus or minus 5.3 percentage points. Franklin said those who identify as Dems, independents who lean Dem and independents who don’t lean to either party were included in those questions. Wisconsin has an open primary system.

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