The latest Marquette University Law School Poll found what Director Charles Franklin described as a challenging political environment and a grumpy electorate.
The poll found registered voters had negative views about all seven politicians they were asked to rate, more than half believe the state is headed in the wrong direction and more are concerned about inflation than they were two months ago.
“This is a public both in the state and nationally that’s pretty grumpy about a variety of things,” Franklin said.
Among the poll’s findings:
*45 percent approve of the job Gov. Tony Evers is doing, while 46 percent disapprove. In August, his split was 50-43. Meanwhile, 42 percent view him favorably and 45 percent unfavorably, compared to 46-42 in August.
*36 percent had a favorable opinion of U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Oshkosh, while 42 percent had an unfavorable one. In August, his split was 35-42.
*43 percent approved of the job President Biden is doing, while 53 percent disapproved. That’s down from a 49-46 split in August. He was viewed favorably by 44 percent and unfavorably by 52 percent.
*38 percent view U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin, D-Madison, favorably, while 39 percent view her unfavorably. Her split was 40-38 in August.
*39 percent view Vice President Harris favorably and 47 percent view her unfavorably.
*38 percent view former President Trump favorably, while 57 percent view him unfavorably.
*38 percent view former Vice President Pence favorably, while 42 percent view him unfavorably.
In addition, 38 percent approved of the job the Legislature is doing, while 48 percent disapproved.
The latest poll didn’t ask respondents about possible head-to-head contests for 2022 with the fields still unsettled and Johnson yet to say whether he will seek reelection.
Instead, registered voters were asked if they would vote for Johnson and Evers next year or would support someone else.
For Johnson, 38 percent said they would vote for the incumbent, while 52 percent said they’d support someone else.
For Evers, 40 percent would back the guv, while 53 percent would prefer someone else.
Meanwhile, though Biden’s numbers have slipped, he’d still lead Trump in a hypothetical 2024 matchup 45-41 with 11 percent saying they’d vote for neither. Biden had a similar 47-43 edge on Trump in the final Marquette poll before the November election in which the Dem beat the incumbent by less than 21,000 votes.
Biden was upside down on the economy with 39 percent approving and 56 percent disapproving. His handling of COVID-19 was a bright spot with a 50-46 split. Still, that was down from 54-42 in August.
Forty-one percent say the state is headed in the right direction, while 51 percent say it’s on the wrong track.
That’s largely unchanged from 39-52 in August.
Meanwhile, 64 percent said they’re very concerned about inflation, while another 28 percent are somewhat concerned. In August, those numbers were 49 and 35.
The poll of 805 registered voters was conducted Oct. 26-31 over landlines and cell phones. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.9 percentage points, and the partisan balance of the sample was in line with historical averages.
Forty-five percent identified as Republicans, 44 percent as Dems and 9 percent as independents when leaners were included.
Franklin said the poll is also for the first time using technology to capture cell phone numbers of Wisconsin voters who have out-of-state area codes. He said that was about 5 percent of cell phones when the poll started but is now around 15 percent.
See the release here.
Watch the poll presentation: https://youtu.be/r_P6Wh-vPl0