Harris ahead in 2 key battleground states, 3rd state up for grabs.
A trio of likely voter polls in the 2024 presidential race in the key Rustbelt swing states show Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, holding a slight lead in Michigan, and essentially tied in Wisconsin.
PENNSYLVANIA
In Pennsylvania, viewed as a must-win state in the path to the White House, Harris receives 51 percent support among likely voters, Trump receives 45 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver each receive 1 percent support. In a Quinnipiac University poll in August, Harris had a slight edge over Trump 48 – 45 percent in a multi-candidate race.
In a hypothetical two-way race, Harris receives 51 percent support and Trump receives 46 percent support, compared to August when Harris received 50 percent support and Trump received 47 percent support.
MICHIGAN
In Michigan, Harris receives 50 percent support among likely voters, Trump receives 45 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 2 percent support. All other listed third-party candidates receive less than 1 percent support.
In a hypothetical two-way race, Harris receives 51 percent support and Trump receives 46 percent support.
WISCONSIN
In Wisconsin, Harris receives 48 percent support among likely voters, Trump receives 47 percent support, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein receives 1 percent support. All other third-party candidates receive less than 1 percent support.
In a hypothetical two-way race, Harris receives 49 percent support and Trump receives 48 percent support.
HARRIS VS. TRUMP: THE ISSUES
The race in all three states is competitive on most issues, including the economy which has ranked high on the list of voters’ issues in deciding their choice of candidate.
Likely voters were asked who they think would do a better job handling the economy:
- PA: 50 percent say Trump, while 48 percent say Harris;
- MI: 50 percent say Trump, while 48 percent say Harris;
- WI: 51 percent say Trump, while 47 percent say Harris.
U.S. Senate races: Democrats have leads in all 3 states.
PENNSYLVANIA
Incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey leads Republican challenger David McCormick 52 – 43 percent in the U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania, similar to an August survey when Casey lead 52 – 44 percent.
MICHIGAN
Democratic Congresswoman Elissa Slotkin has a slight lead over former Republican Congressman Mike Rogers 51 – 46 percent in the U.S. Senate race in Michigan.
WISCONSIN
Incumbent Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin has a slight lead over Republican challenger Eric Hovde in the U.S. Senate race in Wisconsin, with Baldwin receiving 51 percent support and Hovde receiving 47 percent support.
